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January 10, 2019

Answers to the Future – Fragile States

Governance, International Relations

FIW Bonn Event Series – A Changing World

Answers to the Future – Fragile States

2018-12-10 FIW (no Gabriel)

Under considerations of recent shifts in international peacekeeping missions underlying policies, their applicability and effects of deployed means for state building endeavours on fragile states ability and long-term development to become more stable ought to be scrutinized. Is the concept nation state reconcilable with different concepts of order in other countries and regions? How can they be established without in the process compromising those democratic values that it tries to produce? Experts weight in as part of FIW Bonn’s 5th edition of ‘A Changing World’ event series.

 

Speakers

  • Prof. Dr. Conard Schetter, Director of Research, Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)
  • Thomas Brillisauer, Officer, former military attaché in Central and West Africa
  • Martha Gutierrez, Head of the Governance, Crisis Management and Construction Division, GIZ

Moderator

  • Ute Lange, i3kommunikation

Implications for #internationalpolicies of #nationstates' as #governancesystem lack-of-fit with local #socialstructures & #culture, missing state support, leading to conflicts and #failedstates – at @FIW_Bonn's '#FragileStates #weltimwandel, w/ @BICC_Bonn, @giz_gmbh & others pic.twitter.com/d9W5O7pERc

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

 

Defining Fragile States

Since 2005 think tank Fund for Peace assesses vulnerability to conflict or collapse of all sovereign states’ with membership in the United Nations where there is enough data available for analysis – the Fragile States Index (formerly the Failed States Index). Two third of all states German Corporation for International Cooperation (GIZ) is working at are fragile states by that definition.

Concepts of Order

#Nationstate only one concept for describing and ordering nation-state relationship. Yet, not applicable to all countries' & regions' civil and state structure, and culture. Nonetheless, best democratic & just system we know of. Prof. Dr. Conard Schetter, @BICC_Bonn #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Under considerations of the Nation State being a 19th century European-grown idea, the question arises, if this idea is at all international applicable to all states. The European/ Western concept ‘nation state’ is by design just one model for or concept of order that by definition contests and prohibits the establishment of other models of governance. Also, realizing nation states in Europe has been a bloody and at points in itself undemocratic process. Nonetheless, a nation state is the most democratic and just order-producing form of order and governance that we know of.

Installing social and physical infrastructure not possible w/o state and provincial government support and voice/ motives. Democratic values, however, cannot be compromised in the process – Martha Gutierrez, @giz_gmbh #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Underlying the nation state’s law and order-bringing mechanisms are appropriate social and physical built environment state infrastructures. In the first instance, they are what enables state building and establishment of a nation state’s functions and organs and should be descriptive of a resilient state, i.e. non-fragile state, which is not included in Fund for Peace’s Fragile State Index – the index only measures recent outcomes which are, thus, not indicative of their longevity and the future prospects of the state’s situation – and is one of its points of critique. Once a nation state is established, the social and physical built infrastructure recursively produce or allow maintenance of desirable conditions due to systemic least resistance force-fit or best fit mechanisms, respectively.

In order to not violate nation state’s underlying democratic principles during installment of those fundamental state structures, i.e. during the state building process, in a thus far as fragile identified state, securing state and provincial government support and making them an integral part of decision-making and planning activities is fundamental. By the same token, state building cannot be influenced by nor consider incorporating undemocratic interests in its functions and bodies.

Egal wie wir es sehen, wir müssen mit den verankerten staatlichen Strukturen arbeiten, auch wenn das nicht heißt, dass alle Lösungen in dem Konzept eines Nationalstaates zu finden sind, erwiedert Martha Gutierrez / @giz_gmbh. #weltimwandel

— FIW Bonn (@FIW_Bonn) December 10, 2018

For working with fragile states, this implies starting cooperation with und building up on state structures that already adopted or are open for a democratic state building approach. In case of German development agency GIZ, the German Federal Government makes the political decision with which local and national state institutions and NGOs to cooperate.

Scrutinizing Military Interventions

Military forces' cooperation with state only possible when governing body interested in building up own state military, not w/ unauthorised militias – Thomas Brillisauer #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

The political state building process in fragile states is often paralleled by German armed forces’ peacekeeping operation under German Federal Government’s guidelines on Preventing Crises, Resolving Conflicts and Building Peace. According to Martha Guiterrez, improvement potential still rests in synchronizing German Fed Gov’s guidelines and military actions with the work of on-site NGOs that are federal governmental controlled too.

Since a premise for partners for German armed forces’ peacekeeping assignments abroad is that they can be state military only, the nation state building-quality of military interventions as a form of fragile states-targeted development cooperation corresponds to said quality of the state government itself. In comparison to non-state military bound organizations like GIZ, in case that the most-democratic group is not legitimated, i.e. in power, German military’s work can be compromised since cooperation with more democratic but non-state (military) actors is not possible. This can result in critical considered cooperations between German military and state military, forfeiting cooperating with more democratic-motivated, nation state building-interested partners. In that context, German Federal Government’s factual interest in intervening in fragile states should be scrutinized.

Policy of Peace or Policy of Interest

Can Military Peace-Keeping even do Peace?

Die Punkte Exportpolitik, das ergreifen von Partei und die Vertretung der oft auch eigenen Interessen, findet darin keine Erwähnung. @SchetterConrad / @BICC_Bonn #weltimwandel

— FIW Bonn (@FIW_Bonn) December 10, 2018

German federal gov's policy of peace rather policy of interest when arms exports is one of their means – Prof. Dr. Conard Schetter, @BICC_Bonn #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

In itself, Germany’s explicitly proclaimed peacekeeping mission can be seen as pursuing a policy of peace. Their selectivity regarding which countries to intervene in, foreign economic aggressions and arms export politics, however, impart a negative connotation to their peacekeeping missions. German Federal Government’s guidelines for peacekeeping appropriating “peacekeeping” as a means of protecting vested interests that don’t parallel interests of peace-keeping object a policy of peace and can rather quickly transform those guidelines into a means for and resemble a policy of interests keeping.

Fighting for Peace

Policy of supporting state structures by enabling them to defend themselves, equals policy of peace/ most peaceful party –
Thomas Brillisauer, Officer
Overlap of policy of peace and interest, since German gov's vested interest is peace – Martha Gutierrez, @giz_gmbh #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Thomas Brillisauer, former military attaché in Central and West Africa, delivers military’s viewpoint and, building on the premise that German military during peacekeeping missions is only cooperating with state military, explains that their policy of supporting state structures by military means enables states to defend themselves against other non-state aggressors. Assuming that Germany will only deploy a military peacekeeping mission to support state building in states where the most democratic party is in power, Germany’s interests align with factual peace-keeping in that country.

In certain regions, such as #Congo, chaos already at order, sustaining peace not possible. Regaining order and peace only possible when eliminating source of terror first; then process of #statebuilding, #nationbuilding can begin –
Thomas Brillisauer, Officer #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Furthermore, Thomas Brillisauer adds that in certain regions, such as Congo, state’s fragility has progressed to the point where safeguarding state building and sustaining peace is no longer possible. In his eyes the only option remaining is regaining order and peace by eliminating the source of terror and state building-disruption first.

Shifting Paradigms

#Internationalpolitics definition of "stabilisation" shifted from sustaining peace & democratic structures to fighting terror. Choice of words that effects choice of means – @SchetterConrad, @BICC_Bonn #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Fighting sources of terror instead of focusing on building up existent democratic state structures is a shift that international peace politics have undergone recently and, according to Prof. Dr. Conrad Schelter, portray a wrong understanding of state building and engender selection of unsustainable means for stabilizing fragile states.

Scientific evidence says process of #statebuilding, #nationbuilding needs to be endogenic, start with internal conviction; state needs to be ready. External input just evaporates over time – Prof. Dr. @SchetterConrad, @BICC_Bonn #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

The goal of sustainable state building and the way to long-term effective change is to protect and support burgeoning state-internal democratic endeavours until they are able to sustain themselves, and, if necessary, provide follow-up assistance afterwards. Without internal buy-in and action, effects of external support, like curbing anti-democratic/ -nation state tendencies and structures, will ultimately vain, according to Prof. Dr. Conrad Schetter and supported by scientific evidence.

In line with military, partly

Germany's #armedforces educational mandate abroad in #fragilestates needs to focus on transforming state's own military as internal aggressor & source of terror into #peacekeapers, party trusted by civil society; D forces demeanour as role model – Thomas Brillisauer #weltimwandel

— JFKuhlmann (@JF_Kuhlmann) December 10, 2018

Consequently, German Fed Gov’s military intervention and peacekeeping mission by its choice of means opposes a policy of peace and reasonable and effective state building approach. Thomas Brillisauer, former military attaché, however, highlights the irreplaceable institutional position and role of state military that often is an misguided internal source of terror and aggressor in fragile states itself. Yet, when transformed into peacekeepers, military can act as a strong and trusted state-internal institution and partner for democratic state building endeavours. German Fed Gov’s military peacekeeping mission tries to engender this shift in external perception and internal behaviour by having its own military act as a role model in leadership and interaction with civil society, as well as by actively educating state military on those concerns.

Other means for starting from within and drawing on ready for change, thus far non-institutionalized informal governance structures and actors can be supporting grassroots movements, women empowerment and gender equality initiatives by means of improved coordination and cooperation between state-controlled and non-state-controlled foreign development agencies like GIZ, German Fed Gov military as part of its peacekeeping mission and local governance structures under a common peacekeeping and nation state building mandate. Focusing not on fighting the “old” and “bad”, where certainly always something bigger and “worse” will emerge after having fought the initial target, but on building the “new” and “better”, i.e. more democratic, would reverse recent developments in international peace politics and improve its reasonableness and effectiveness.

 

  • All FIW Bonn Answers to the Future Event Series Blogposts
  • Event Website
  • Event Series Overview
  • FIW Bonn’s Website
  • Last years’s FIW Bonn A Changing World – Agenda 2030 Event Series Blogposts

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About Me

Hi, I’m Jan-Frederic. Besides stoically gazing into the future, I like to contemplate and write about everything that moves the past, present and future of our human existence, especially in the urban context, into the right direction.



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